At least three NFL teams have the potential to start rookies at quarterback for Week 1 of the 2023-24 season. Bryce Young of the Carolina Panthers and CJ Stroud of the Houston Texans are likely the most NFL-ready rookie QBs entering training camp, and they’ve been drawing head-to-head comparisons since the conclusion of the 2023 CFP.
Online NFL betting sites have posted prop bets regarding the performances of both Young and Stroud during their rookie campaigns. Stroud and Young must start their respective Week 1 games in order for these wagers to count. If they’re riding the bench or injured as of September 8th, any bets placed will be refunded back into members’ accounts.
Bryce Young Total Passing Yards
- Over 3750½ Passing Yards -120
- Under 3750½ Passing Yards -120
Bryce Young Total Passing Touchdowns
- Over 22½ Passing TDs -110
- Under 22½ Passing TDs -130
CJ Stroud Total Passing Yards
- Over 3680½ Passing Yards -120
- Under 3680½ Passing Yards -120
CJ Stroud Total Passing Touchdowns
- Over 22½ Passing TDs +105
- Under 22½ Passing TDs -145
The over/under for passing yards for Stroud and Young have been set at 3,680 and 3,750, respectively. If those projections prove accurate, they’ll finish their first season with the seventh and eleventh most passing yards ever thrown by a rookie.
Most Passing Yards In A Rookie Season
- Andrew Luck 2012 – 4,374
- Justin Herbert 2020 – 4,336
- Cam Newton 2011 – 4,051
- Jameis Winston 2015 – 4,042
- Mac Jones 2021 – 3,801
- Carson Wentz 2016 – 3,782
- Bryce Young 2023 – 3,750*
- Peyton Manning 1998 – 3,739
- Baker Mayfield 2018 – 3,725
- Kyler Murray 2019 – 3,722
- CJ Stroud 2023 – 3,680*
- Dak Prescott 2016 – 3,667
The odds posted also suggest that Stroud and Young will finish among the all-time best rookie touchdown throwers, each with 22+ TD strikes on the boards this year.
Most Passing Touchdowns In A Rookie Season
- Justin Herbert 2020 – 31
- Baker Mayfield 2018 – 27
- Russell Wilson 2012 – 26
- Peyton Manning 1998 – 26
- Daniel Jones 2019 – 24
- Dak Prescott 2016 – 23
- Andrew Luck 2012 – 23
- CJ Stroud 2023 – 22*
- Bryce Young 2023 – 22*
- Mac Jones 2021 – 22
- Jameis Winston 2015 – 22
- Jim Kelly 1986 – 22
One common factor among rookie QBs is their inability to make it to the NFL Playoffs. Of the above-listed players, only Russell Wilson won a postseason game during his first season.
Another QB that has a solid shot at starting Week 1 is the Indianapolis Colts’ Anthony Richardson. There are several props offered placing him in a three-way race against Young and Stroud for statistical achievements.
Most Passing Yards During The 2023-24 NFL Season
- Bryce Young -140
- CJ Stroud +135
- Anthony Richardson +550
Most Touchdown Passes In 2023-24 NFL Season
- Bryce Young -140
- CJ Stroud +135
- Anthony Richardson +550
Most Interceptions Thrown In 2023-24 NFL Season
- CJ Stroud +110
- Bryce Young +150
- Anthony Richardson +225
First Rookie QB To Be Benched During The 2023-24 NFL Season
- Anthony Richardson -150
- Bryce Young +200
- CJ Stroud +450
Which Rookie Quarterback Will Start The Most Games This Season
- Bryce Young +110
- CJ Stroud +125
- Anthony Richardson +165
Unfortunately for the Colts and Richardson, the above odds imply some growing pains for the first-year QB. He is predicted to lead the trio in interceptions thrown and is the most likely to be sent to the bench first.
Richardson is a big-bodied quarterback that may be more ready for NFL-level punishment, but his lack of passing prowess leads some to believe that he could be more of an experiment.
All three teams’ odds for betting on the Super Bowl place them in the bottom third of the league.
2023-24 NFL Prop Bets: BetUS